Hi everybody, I am a science fiction writer, not a political person, normally I only deal with futuristic politics and don' t interfere with current politics, but for once I am going to make an exception and write a political post. I live in the Netherlands and it is becoming a bit scary down here. President Putin has moved tanks and troops into Eastern Ukraine, Russian airplanes are making faint attack flights in European air space, and Gorbatsjov said there might be a second cold war. As time goes by world war three is becoming more a likely possibility than something we shouldn't worry about. Let me explain. Europe and the United States have imposed economical sanctions on Russia and these economical sanctions are working. Don't people realize how dangerous this is? An economically unstable Russia is a danger to world peace. After world war one, economical sanctions were imposed on Germany by the victors of world war one. The economical consequences were disastrous for Germany, which led to chaos and eventually an evil man coming to power. This evil man called Hitler, then ignited world war two. It may sound far fetched but the same thing can happen to Russia. Economical sanctions can lead to destabilization and even the collapse of the Russian economy. This can lead to chaos within Russia and even the violent overthrowing of president Putin. It is very possible that then an evil madman will come to power who will ignite world war three. I am not a fan of president Putin, he is a corrupt dictator, but the world might be worse of without him. All it takes for world war three to happen is one madman at the helm of a world power, making the decision to go to war. For the high rising tensions to deescalate all the world powers involved, Russia, Ukraine, Europe and the United States need to make consessions. When president Putin signed the Minsk peace treaty with president Petro Poroshenko there was a real opportunity for peace, soon after this signing president Putin moved most of his troops out of Eastern Ukraine, but the western world has decided that dispite the peace treaty the economical sanctions against Russia should stay in place. This is where the western world has dropped the bal. Russia's behavior in the Ukraine and the economical sanctions against Russia are not seperate issues, these are linked with each other. The western world should have said " Okay mister Putin, you have signed a peace treaty and moved most of your troops out of Eastern Ukraine, so now we will lift some of the economical sanctions as long as you remain in compliance with the minsk peace treaty." This would have generated good will with the Russians, removed a lot of pressure from president Putin and given the peace treaty more power, but this didn't happen. The sanctions remained in place, leaving president Putin cornered and seperated. He must have been thinking to himself: " shit, I did almost everything the western world asked of me, I have signed a peace deal with Poroshenko, moved most of my troops out of Eastern Ukraine, deescalated the situation, and now I'm still up shitcreek." So president Putin took that Minsk treaty, placed it next to a bottle of vodka in his refrigerator, and send his troops back into Eastern Ukraine. This time with a vengeance, more than before. Two things need to happen and need to happen soon.
First, president Obama and president Putin need to sit down with each other and sign an agreement in which president Putin will permanently remove most of his soldiers and tanks from Eastern Ukraine in return for the lifting of a large part of the economocal sanctions that have been imposed on Russia. A seperate cease fire agreement at the Donetsk airport should be included in those negotiations. Some western powers might think that this is giving in to intimidation, but isn't a deescalation of the situation, the Russian tanks out of Eastern Ukraine, and a Russia with a stable economy, isn't that what we all want? Isn't Russia an important part of the world economy? Trust me on this one, Russia is an important part of the world economy whether we like it or not.
Second, Ukraine needs to dig in and fortify its front lines so that they can effectively defend the lands that they now hold. Europe and the United States need to help them with this. This is called peace through strength. If a country is very capable of defending itself it is less likely to be attacked in the first place. And if it does get attacked, well, then it can defend itself. For instance, if a collom of twenty tanks are moving forward and the first two tanks are destroyed, this will halt the advance of the remaining tanks and might even cause them to retreat, because the other tank crews don't want to suffer the same fate as those from the destroyed tanks. Ukraine is an important buffer between Russia and Europe, especially since Europe's financial problems caused it to cut down on its defenses. Jong upcoming democratic movements can form an important protective buffer for older democracies, but this is only the case if these jong movements recieve weapons from the older democracies, because without effective aid from the older democracies these jong movements will be violently crushed by a corrupt dictator or a terrorist organization.
West Ukraine has lost a lot: the regrettable los of life, the los of the Crim and the los of large parts of Eastern Ukraine, but they have also gained a lot. The overthrowing of Victor Yanocovich who was a corrupt dictator, they have gained freedom, democracy, a new found pride in their country, and a trade relationship with Europe.
And as far as Eastern Ukrainians is concerned, many of them are Russian speaking farmers who own a small piece of land. They often make their own food and vodka. They are okay with Russia, they are okay with Kiev, they don't really care who rules over them, as long as nobody bombs their farm.
http://ift.tt/1v6D6HQ Please share this post, I think somebody needs to talk some sense into our world leaders. Erik Morland. 11/20/2014
Submitted November 22, 2014 at 01:43PM by emorland http://ift.tt/1FcIxIh POLITIC
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