Showing posts with label Bitcoin. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Bitcoin. Show all posts

Wednesday, September 20, 2017

To anyone who thinks widespread adoption is just around the corner Bitcoin

One of the biggest online retailer for technical related stuff in Sweden is called webbhallen, and they started accepting bitcoin one year ago. They sell products such as laptops/desktops/games/sound systems, even things such as health products and refrigerators (although I doubt many people buy their refrigerators from that site...). They are very popular among the younger generation and especially tech-savvy people tend to buy stuff from webbhallen, although I guess they're getting more popular among the older generation as well now.

Anyway, they stopped accepting bitcoin a few month ago. Reason? Only 3 people had bought things with bitcoin during the last year - 2 of which were flagged suspected of money laundering. They implemented it mostly for marketing reasons and closed it down when the buzz died down.

The point is, if Sweden which is is arguably the most developed country in the world when it comes to fin-tech, can't get more than 3 transactions in an entire year (2 of which were cancelled) on the biggest online retailer of tech-related stuff, then adoption is not even remotely close. Any company implementing bitcoin payments are not doing it because they think anyone is going to pay with it, they're doing it for free marketing and the buzz. Webbhallen arguably has the best chance of any company in the world to actually get customers paying with bitcoin - since they only got 3 people in an entire year, I'm sure you can all imagine how many people are going to pay with bitcoin in other countries, and other less tech-savvy companies. Take this as a warning to anyone who thinks mass adoption is just around the corner as long as more companies start accepting bitcoin.



Submitted September 20, 2017 at 10:17PM by DenEvigaKampen http://ift.tt/2xRQUyK Bitcoin

Sunday, August 6, 2017

cooling for miners Bitcoin

i just want to know if there is a cooling box like a small refrigerator that has usb and normal wall outlets inside to plug in for power and to keep my mining rigs cool if you do know of one just link it to me



Submitted August 07, 2017 at 09:02AM by bob432626 http://ift.tt/2vFLNkc Bitcoin

Sunday, April 16, 2017

Had a debate with two ladies in their 50s about Bitcoin... this is what happened... Bitcoin

This lady was at least 55 (maybe older). She started going on about THEY. Paying bills to THEM. Angry that THEY were holding her down and it is what THEY want. THEY want to control you. Etc. Etc. Etc. I tried to explain to her that everything "centralized" will soon (10 years? optimistically) be "decentralized". THEY will be erased. No longer needed. Banks, governments, silicon valley, companies, etc. The main point I got stuck on was that I could not explain to her WHO gets her money when you use Bitcoin. Her brain could not comprehend there not being a bank; not being in control; there not being a middle man. She refused to accept responsibility. She didn't trust it because there was no authority. Even though she was VERY angry at the authorities she currently has her USD with. She was VERY angry at her cell phone company, her electric company, her bank, her government, etc. etc. etc. She was proud to own her house because she loathed the mortgage she paid her entire life. I used analogies galore. She seemed as though she would trust gold but when I asked her how much gold she had she just said only the ring on her finger which I am not sure was even real gold. I mean I am not sure she even knew if it was real gold or even knew how much it was worth melted down. This is the baby boomer generation. Many are angry. Many. But they are fearful. They fear technology. They fear younger kids and their funny money. They say us kids ( I am 35 so not quite a kid) don't understand. That we don't get it. She even said a dollar is anonymous. She understood that much. I can give you a dollar anonymously. This is true. I agree. But it was impossible to explain to someone like that how an anonymous digital currency operates. How it washes away the trace. Or that it can. She didnt trust it. She kept wanting to know who THEY becomes. I said your children. Your friends. Your family. Every person in here who owns a cell phone or a smart TV or a smart refrigerator. The Internet of Things you own become your bank. Become your money. Become ownership. Become THEY. Her face just looked like a deer in headlights. It just does not make sense to them.

This revolution will not come easy. People will fight. They will fight to their grave. They will hate the entities the revolution is against. They will still fight it and side with the authority that they loathe because they fear technology and are too lazy (or old) to take the time to understand. They will stick with what they know. They will not adapt.

I hope that that there is not a rush to crypto; that it happens gradually over time. I hope that Bitcoin keeps getting deemed DEAD. That we don't see governments collapsing along with their currencies over night. That we dont see famine from hyper inflation in smaller countries one by one as the rush takes hold. I hope that humanity can understand what is happening. That they get it. But on the flip side if they do get "it" too fast, the rush will begin. If they dont get it they may be too late. This is a revolution. A world wide 1776. This is not a small subset of the world having a civil war. This is every human being on the planet making a choice... a choice between freedom and slavery. That lady chose slavery. She had no choice her entire life. And sadly she will either be too late or die before it the revolution completes. Which side are you on? Which side are your friends on? Which side is your family on? Which side... war is upon us and it is invisible.

Grab your popcorn.



Submitted April 16, 2017 at 02:25PM by KyleFromOhio http://ift.tt/2plzJkm Bitcoin

Saturday, March 25, 2017

What would it take? Bitcoin

What would it take to develop a hardware-software-trustware coalition with everyone on the same page dedicated to the development and scaling of immutable Bitcoin? Is there not a way to interface mining with trustware while decentralizing and distributing mining opportunities and responsibilities? Why can't my smart refrigerator mine Bitcoin? The IoT could become Bitcoin mining and keep us all connected intuitively while disrupting legacy centralized banking systems.



Submitted March 26, 2017 at 12:07AM by Playful12 http://ift.tt/2o45nPW Bitcoin

Tuesday, September 22, 2015

21 Inc is about to fuel the next evolution of innovators - a personal awakening Bitcoin

Have been a long time Bitcoin follower, but not active in the community. Today I have decided that the time has arrived to jump into the space and take off my lurker cape. The tipping point for me was the announcement of 21 Inc's development kit (the Bitcoin Computer). In this post my goal is to explain why.

Early in life I started considering myself a technologist. I spent my youth taking apart hardware, playing games, reading publications, dreaming about the future of technology and where it would take us. I dropped out of high school and opened my first business when I was 16. Since then I have founded companies, participated in a range of roles from entry level engineer to executive leadership, and in industries from gaming to energy.

I am 31 and the spirit is still going strong. In my free time you can find me hacking away on an Arduino project, coding something just because I thought it sounded fun, or learning about some new technology. My point is that I am passionate about technology. I fully believe its exponential nature is already freeing the world.

Bitcoin has been on my radar for some time and it has always given me an itch in the back of mind. This itch started when I first read the famous white paper. I have often wondered if this was a feeling the early pioneers of network technology had. However anytime I sat down to build something with Bitcoin I wouldn't get past brainstorming. My mind couldn't quite piece together the full puzzle. I am not discounting all the wonderful problem solvers currently working in the space, I am only speaking of myself. I felt like I had TCP in my hands but lacked the ingenuity to foresee the Internet.

With 21's announcement I first read through everything I could find on it. I waited a few hours, then sat down with a notepad. Finally the entire puzzle fit together for me. The potential to disrupt, demonetize, and dematerialize so many products/services/industries is mind warping.

I will give two easy examples:

  • A missing link in the Internet of Things (IoT). We can already wire any device (from a light switch to a kettle to a full car) to the Internet using really cheap components (thanks to Moore's law). But one of the problems we have run into is how to get those devices to exchange with each other. For example, what if my daughter left the door open on the refrigerator and it wants to send me an SMS letting me know? If the fridge has a small amount of digital value (Bitcoin) it could easily pay any device that has a GSM connection (like a cell phone) to send the SMS. Society started with direct trade and later we decided on cash. Cash is for people, machines are going to need their own currency that makes sense to them.

  • Developers and tinkerers currently have a massive barrier to entry with Bitcoin. Here is a simple scenario: Bob Tinker is building a prototype for a service and decides that the Bitcoin Blockchain would be a valuable tool for it, and for the right reasons he doesn't want to trust a third party API. First step is to get a full node running. For anyone that has done this you know it takes FOREVER to sync (think days). STRIKE ONE! Next he wants to try out his magic service but wait he needs some Bitcoin, he won't need much, just a few cents to pay transaction fees. In the US he would probably find his way to Coinbase. After giving them access to his bank account, probably a copy of his ID, social security number, and waiting for days (and praying it doesn't get "cancelled"). STRIKE TWO!. At some point Bob Tinker is going to throw his hands up and move on. Not only did the ecosystem miss out on Bob's mind hours, he is probably going to have a negative association next time Bitcoin comes up or a colleague asks about it. I hear variations of this scenario all the time. A device such as 21's development kit solves all of this out of the box, day one.

I have already ordered two of the development kits and some other parts for ideas spilling out of my mind. I can't wait to build and share and hopefully do my part to continue this explosion of techno evolution I am so grateful for being born into.

TL;DR: 21 Inc has given a powerful tool to the modern DIY innovator, and I know because I am one.



Submitted September 23, 2015 at 07:39AM by Justin_Guy http://ift.tt/1ivtTp3 Bitcoin

Tuesday, June 23, 2015

Is anyone else freaked out by this whole blocksize debate? Does anyone else find themself often agreeing with *both* sides - depending on whichever argument you happen to be reading at the moment? And do we need some better algorithms and data structures? Bitcoin

Why do both sides of the debate seem “right” to me?

I know, I know, a healthy debate is healthy and all - and maybe I'm just not used to the tumult and jostling which would be inevitable in a real live open major debate about something as vital as Bitcoin.

And I really do agree with the starry-eyed idealists who say Bitcoin is vital. Imperfect as it may be, it certainly does seem to represent the first real chance we've had in the past few hundred years to try to steer our civilization and our planet away from the dead-ends and disasters which our government-issued debt-based currencies keep dragging us into.

But this particular debate, about the blocksize, doesn't seem to be getting resolved at all.

Pretty much every time I read one of the long-form major arguments contributed by Bitcoin "thinkers" who I've come to respect over the past few years, this weird thing happens: I usually end up finding myself nodding my head and agreeing with whatever particular piece I'm reading!

But that should be impossible - because a lot of these people vehemently disagree!

So how can both sides sound so convincing to me, simply depending on whichever piece I currently happen to be reading?

Does anyone else feel this way? Or am I just a gullible idiot?

Just Do It?

When you first look at it or hear about it, increasing the size seems almost like a no-brainer: The "big-block" supporters say just increase the blocksize to 20 MB or 8 MB, or do some kind of scheduled or calculated regular increment which tries to take into account the capabilities of the infrastructure and the needs of the users. We do have the bandwidth and the memory to at least increase the blocksize now, they say - and we're probably gonna continue to have more bandwidth and memory in order to be able to keep increasing the blocksize for another couple decades - pretty much like everything else computer-based we've seen over the years (some of this stuff is called by names such as "Moore's Law").

On the other hand, whenever the "small-block" supporters warn about the utter catastrophe that a failed hard-fork would mean, I get totally freaked by their possible doomsday scenarios, which seem totally plausible and terrifying - so I end up feeling that the only way I'd want to go with a hard-fork would be if there was some pre-agreed "triggering" mechanism where the fork itself would only actually "switch on" and take effect provided that some "supermajority" of the network (of who? the miners? the full nodes?) had signaled (presumably via some kind of totally reliable p2p trustless software-based voting system?) that they do indeed "pre-agree" to actually adopt the pre-scheduled fork (and thereby avoid any possibility whatsoever of the precious blockchain somehow tragically splitting into two and pretty much killing this cryptocurrency off in its infancy).

So in this "conservative" scenario, I'm talking about wanting at least 95% pre-adoption agreement - not the mere 75% which I recall some proposals call for, which seems like it could easily lead to a 75/25 blockchain split.

But this time, with this long drawn-out blocksize debate, the core devs, and several other important voices who have become prominent opinion shapers over the past few years, can't seem to come to any real agreement on this.

Weird split among the devs

As far as I can see, there's this weird split: Gavin and Mike seem to be the only people among the devs who really want a major blocksize increase - and all the other devs seem to be vehemently against them.

But then on the other hand, the users seem to be overwhelmingly in favor of a major increase.

And there are meta-questions about governance, about about why this didn't come out as a BIP, and what the availability of Bitcoin XT means.

And today or yesterday there was this really cool big-blockian exponential graph based on doubling the blocksize every two years for twenty years, reminding us of the pure mathematical fact that 210 is indeed about 1000 - but not really addressing any of the game-theoretic points raised by the small-blockians. So a lot of the users seem to like it, but when so few devs say anything positive about it, I worry: is this just yet more exponential chart porn?

On the one hand, Gavin's and Mike's blocksize increase proposal initially seemed like a no-brainer to me.

And on the other hand, all the other devs seem to be against them. Which is weird - not what I'd initially expected at all (but maybe I'm just a fool who's seduced by exponential chart porn?).

Look, I don't mean to be rude to any of the core devs, and I don't want to come off like someone wearing a tinfoil hat - but it has to cross people's minds that the powers that be (the Fed and the other central banks and the governments that use their debt-issued money to run this world into a ditch) could very well be much more scared shitless than they're letting on. If we assume that the powers that be are using their usual playbook and tactics, then it could be worth looking at the book "Confessions of an Economic Hitman" by John Perkins, to get an idea of how they might try to attack Bitcoin. So, what I'm saying is, they do have a track record of sending in "experts" to try to derail projects and keep everyone enslaved to the Creature from Jekyll Island. I'm just saying. So, without getting ad hominem - let's just make sure that our ideas can really stand scrutiny on their own - as Nick Szabo says, we need to make sure there is "more computer science, less noise" in this debate.

When Gavin Andresen first came out with the 20 MB thing - I sat back and tried to imagine if I could download 20 MB in 10 minutes (which seems to be one of the basic mathematical and technological constraints here - right?)

I figured, "Yeah, I could download that" - even with my crappy internet connection.

And I guess the telecoms might be nice enough to continue to double our bandwidth every two years for the next couple decades – if we ask them politely?

On the other hand - I think we should be careful about entrusting the financial freedom of the world into the greedy hands of the telecoms companies - given all their shady shenanigans over the past few years in many countries. After decades of the MPAA and the FBI trying to chip away at BitTorrent, lately PirateBay has been hard to access. I would say it's quite likely that certain persons at institutions like JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs and the Fed might be very, very motivated to see Bitcoin fail - so we shouldn't be too sure about scaling plans which depend on the willingness of companies Verizon and AT&T to double our bandwith every two years.

Maybe the real important hardware buildout challenge for a company like 21 (and its allies such as Qualcomm) to take on now would not be "a miner in every toaster" but rather "Google Fiber Download and Upload Speeds in every Country, including China".

I think I've read all the major stuff on the blocksize debate from Gavin Andresen, Mike Hearn, Greg Maxwell, Peter Todd, Adam Back, and Jeff Garzick and several other major contributors - and, oddly enough, all their arguments seem reasonable - heck even Luke-Jr seems reasonable to me on the blocksize debate, and I always thought he was a whackjob overly influenced by superstition and numerology - and now today I'm reading the article by Bram Cohen - the inventor of BitTorrent - and I find myself agreeing with him too!

I say to myself: What's going on with me? How can I possibly agree with all of these guys, if they all have such vehemently opposing viewpoints?

I mean, think back to the glory days of a couple of years ago, when all we were hearing was how this amazing unprecedented grassroots innovation called Bitcoin was going to benefit everyone from all walks of life, all around the world:

  • wealthy individuals trying to preserve and transport their wealth across space and across time

  • iPhone and Android users who want to buy a latte on their smartphone at Starbucks

  • Venezuelans and Argentinians and Cypriots and Russian oligarchs and Greeks and anyone else whose state-backed currency sucks

  • unbanked Africans who will someday be texting around money via SMS messages on their cellphones

  • online content providers who will finally be able to get paid via micropayments

  • smart contracts and stock brokering and lawyering and land deeding and the refrigerator calling out to order more milk and distributed anonymous corporations (DACs) automatically negotiating and adjusting driverless taxicab fares in the Uber-future of the Internet of Things

...basically the entire human race transacting everything into the blockchain.

(Although let me say that I think that people's focus on ideas like driverless cabs creating realtime fare markets based on supply and demand seems to be setting our sights a bit low as far as Bitcoin's abilities to correct the financial world's capital-misallocation problems which seem to have been made possible by infinite debt-based fiat. I would have hoped that a Bitcoin-based economy would solve much more noble, much more urgent capital-allocation problems than driverless taxicabs creating fare markets or refrigerators ordering milk on the internet of things. I was thinking more along the lines that Bitcoin would finally strangle dead-end debt-based deadly-toxic energy industries like fossil fuels and let profitable clean energy industries like Thorium LFTRs take over - but that's another topic. :=)

Paradoxes in the blocksize debate

Let me summarize the major paradoxes I see here:

(1) Regarding the people (the majority of the core devs) who are against a blocksize increase: Well, the small-blocks arguments do seem kinda weird, and certainly not very "populist", in the sense that: When on earth have end-users ever heard of a computer technology whose capacity didn't grow pretty much exponentially year-on-year? All the cool new technology we've had - from hard drives to RAM to bandwidth - started out pathetically tiny and grew to unimaginably huge over the past few decades - and all our software has in turn gotten massively powerful and big and complex (sometimes bloated) to take advantage of the enormous new capacity available.

But now suddenly, for the first time in the history of technology, we seem to have a majority of the devs, on a major p2p project - saying: "Let's not scale the system up. It could be dangerous. It might break the whole system (if the hard-fork fails)."

I don't know, maybe I'm missing something here, maybe someone else could enlighten me, but I don't think I've ever seen this sort of thing happen in the last few decades of the history of technology - devs arguing against scaling up p2p technology to take advantage of expected growth in infrastructure capacity.

(2) But... on the other hand... the dire warnings of the small-blockians about what could happen if a hard-fork were to fail - wow, they do seem really dire! And these guys are pretty much all heavyweight, experienced programmers and/or game theorists and/or p2p open-source project managers.

I must say, that nearly all of the long-form arguments I've read - as well as many, many of the shorter comments I've read from many users in the threads, whose names I at least have come to more-or-less recognize over the past few months and years on reddit and bitcointalk - have been amazingly impressive in their ability to analyze all aspects of the lifecycle and management of open-source software projects, bringing up lots of serious points which I could never have come up with, and which seem to come from long experience with programming and project management - as well as dealing with economics and human nature (eg, greed - the game-theory stuff).

So a lot of really smart and experienced people with major expertise in various areas ranging from programming to management to game theory to politics to economics have been making some serious, mature, compelling arguments.

But, as I've been saying, the only problem to me is: in many of these cases, these arguments are vehemently in opposition to each other! So I find myself agreeing with pretty much all of them, one by one - which means the end result is just a giant contradiction.

I mean, today we have Bram Cohen, the inventor of BitTorrent, arguing (quite cogently and convincingly to me), that it would be dangerous to increase the blocksize. And this seems to be a guy who would know a few things about scaling out a massive global p2p network - since the protocol which he invented, BitTorrent, is now apparently responsible for like a third of the traffic on the internet (and this despite the long-term concerted efforts of major evil players such as the MPAA and the FBI to shut the whole thing down).

Was the BitTorrent analogy too "glib"?

By the way - I would like to go on a slight tangent here and say that one of the main reasons why I felt so "comfortable" jumping on the Bitcoin train back a few years ago, when I first heard about it and got into it, was the whole rough analogy I saw with BitTorrent.

I remembered the perhaps paradoxical fact that when a torrent is more popular (eg, a major movie release that just came out last week), then it actually becomes faster to download. More people want it, so more people have a few pieces of it, so more people are able to get it from each other. A kind of self-correcting economic feedback loop, where more demand directly leads to more supply.

(BitTorrent manages to pull this off by essentially adding a certain structure to the file being shared, so that it's not simply like an append-only list of 1 MB blocks, but rather more like an random-access or indexed array of 1 MB chunks. Say you're downloading a film which is 700 MB. As soon as your "client" program has downloaded a single 1-MB chunk - say chunk #99 - your "client" program instantly turns into a "server" program as well - offering that chunk #99 to other clients. From my simplistic understanding, I believe the Bitcoin protocol does something similar, to provide a p2p architecture. Hence my - perhaps naïve - assumption that Bitcoin already had the right algorithms / architecture / data structure to scale.)

The efficiency of the BitTorrent network seemed to jive with that "network law" (Metcalfe's Law?) about fax machines. This law states that the more fax machines there are, the more valuable the network of fax machines becomes. Or the value of the network grows on the order of the square of the number of nodes.

This is in contrast with other technology like cars, where the more you have, the worse things get. The more cars there are, the more traffic jams you have, so things start going downhill. I guess this is because highway space is limited - after all, we can't pave over the entire countryside, and we never did get those flying cars we were promised, as David Graeber laments in a recent essay in The Baffler magazine :-)

And regarding the "stress test" supposedly happening right now in the middle of this ongoing blocksize debate, I don't know what worries me more: the fact that it apparently is taking only $5,000 to do a simple kind of DoS on the blockchain - or the fact that there are a few rumors swirling around saying that the unknown company doing the stress test shares the same physical mailing address with a "scam" company?

Or maybe we should just be worried that so much of this debate is happening on a handful of forums which are controlled by some guy named theymos who's already engaged in some pretty "contentious" or "controversial" behavior like blowing a million dollars on writing forum software (I guess he never heard that reddit.com software is open-source)?

So I worry that the great promise of "decentralization" might be more fragile than we originally thought.

Scaling

Anyways, back to Metcalfe's Law: with virtual stuff, like torrents and fax machines, the more the merrier. The more people downloading a given movie, the faster it arrives - and the more people own fax machines, the more valuable the overall fax network.

So I kindof (naïvely?) assumed that Bitcoin, being "virtual" and p2p, would somehow scale up the same magical way BitTorrrent did. I just figured that more people using it would somehow automatically make it stronger and faster.

But now a lot of devs have started talking in terms of the old "scarcity" paradigm, talking about blockspace being a "scarce resource" and talking about "fee markets" - which seems kinda scary, and antithetical to much of the earlier rhetoric we heard about Bitcoin (the stuff about supporting our favorite creators with micropayments, and the stuff about Africans using SMS to send around payments).

Look, when some asshole is in line in front of you at the cash register and he's holding up the line so they can run his credit card to buy a bag of Cheeto's, we tend to get pissed off at the guy - clogging up our expensive global electronic payment infrastructure to make a two-dollar purchase. And that's on a fairly efficient centralized system - and presumably after a year or so, VISA and the guy's bank can delete or compress the transaction in their SQL databases.

Now, correct me if I'm wrong, but if some guy buys a coffee on the blockchain, or if somebody pays an online artist $1.99 for their work - then that transaction, a few bytes or so, has to live on the blockchain forever?

Or is there some "pruning" thing that gets rid of it after a while?

And this could lead to another question: Viewed from the perspective of double-entry bookkeeping, is the blockchain "world-wide ledger" more like the "balance sheet" part of accounting, i.e. a snapshot showing current assets and liabilities? Or is it more like the "cash flow" part of accounting, i.e. a journal showing historical revenues and expenses?

When I think of thousands of machines around the globe having to lug around multiple identical copies of a multi-gigabyte file containing some asshole's coffee purchase forever and ever... I feel like I'm ideologically drifting in one direction (where I'd end up also being against really cool stuff like online micropayments and Africans banking via SMS)... so I don't want to go there.

But on the other hand, when really experienced and battle-tested veterans with major experience in the world of open-souce programming and project management (the "small-blockians") warn of the catastrophic consequences of a possible failed hard-fork, I get freaked out and I wonder if Bitcoin really was destined to be a settlement layer for big transactions.

Could the original programmer(s) possibly weigh in?

And I don't mean to appeal to authority - but heck, where the hell is Satoshi Nakamoto in all this? I do understand that he/she/they would want to maintain absolute anonymity - but on the other hand, I assume SN wants Bitcoin to succeed (both for the future of humanity - or at least for all the bitcoins SN allegedly holds :-) - and I understand there is a way that SN can cryptographically sign a message - and I understand that as the original developer of Bitcoin, SN had some very specific opinions about the blocksize... So I'm kinda wondering of Satoshi could weigh in from time to time. Just to help out a bit. I'm not saying "Show us a sign" like a deity or something - but damn it sure would be fascinating and possibly very helpful if Satoshi gave us his/her/their 2 satoshis worth at this really confusing juncture.

Are we using our capacity wisely?

I'm not a programming or game-theory whiz, I'm just a casual user who has tried to keep up with technology over the years.

It just seems weird to me that here we have this massive supercomputer (500 times more powerful than the all the supercomputers in the world combined) doing fairly straightforward "embarassingly parallel" number-crunching operations to secure a p2p world-wide ledger called the blockchain to keep track of a measly 2.1 quadrillion tokens spread out among a few billion addresses - and a couple of years ago you had people like Rick Falkvinge saying the blockchain would someday be supporting multi-million-dollar letters of credit for international trade and you had people like Andreas Antonopoulos saying the blockchain would someday allow billions of "unbanked" people to send remittances around the village or around the world dirt-cheap - and now suddenly in June 2015 we're talking about blockspace as a "scarce resource" and talking about "fee markets" and partially centralized, corporate-sponsored "Level 2" vaporware like Lightning Network and some mysterious company is "stess testing" or "DoS-ing" the system by throwing away a measly $5,000 and suddenly it sounds like the whole system could eventually head right back into PayPal and Western Union territory again, in terms of expensive fees.

When I got into Bitcoin, I really was heavily influenced by vague analogies with BitTorrent: I figured everyone would just have tiny little like utorrent-type program running on their machine (ie, Bitcoin-QT or Armory or Mycelium etc.).

I figured that just like anyone can host a their own blog or webserver, anyone would be able to host their own bank.

Yeah, Google and and Mozilla and Twitter and Facebook and WhatsApp did come along and build stuff on top of TCP/IP, so I did expect a bunch of companies to build layers on top of the Bitcoin protocol as well. But I still figured the basic unit of bitcoin client software powering the overall system would be small and personal and affordable and p2p - like a bittorrent client - or at the most, like a cheap server hosting a blog or email server.

And I figured there would be a way at the software level, at the architecture level, at the algorithmic level, at the data structure level - to let the thing scale - if not infinitely, at least fairly massively and gracefully - the same way the BitTorrent network has.

Of course, I do also understand that with BitTorrent, you're sharing a read-only object (eg, a movie) - whereas with Bitcoin, you're achieving distributed trustless consensus and appending it to a write-only (or append-only) database.

So I do understand that the problem which BitTorrent solves is much simpler than the problem which Bitcoin sets out to solve.

But still, it seems that there's got to be a way to make this thing scale. It's p2p and it's got 500 times more computing power than all the supercomputers in the world combined - and so many brilliant and motivated and inspired people want this thing to succeed! And Bitcoin could be our civilization's last chance to steer away from the oncoming debt-based ditch of disaster we seem to be driving into!

It just seems that Bitcoin has got to be able to scale somehow - and all these smart people working together should be able to come up with a solution which pretty much everyone can agree - in advance - will work.

Right? Right?

A (probably irrelevant) tangent on algorithms and architecture and data structures

I'll finally weigh with my personal perspective - although I might be biased due to my background (which is more on the theoretical side of computer science).

My own modest - or perhaps radical - suggestion would be to ask whether we're really looking at all the best possible algorithms and architectures and data structures out there.

From this perspective, I sometimes worry that the overwhelming majority of the great minds working on the programming and game-theory stuff might come from a rather specific, shall we say "von Neumann" or "procedural" or "imperative" school of programming (ie, C and Python and Java programmers).

It seems strange to me that such a cutting-edge and important computer project would have so little participation from the great minds at the other end of the spectrum of programming paradigms - namely, the "functional" and "declarative" and "algebraic" (and co-algebraic!) worlds.

For example, I was struck in particular by statements I've seen here and there (which seemed rather hubristic or lackadaisical to me - for something as important as Bitcoin), that the specification of Bitcoin and the blockchain doesn't really exist in any form other than the reference implementation(s) (in procedural languages such as C or Python?).

Curry-Howard anyone?

I mean, many computer scientists are aware of the Curry-Howard isomorophism, which basically says that the relationship between a theorem and its proof is equivalent to the relationship between a specification and its implementation. In other words, there is a long tradition in mathematics (and in computer programming) of:

  • separating the compact (and easy-to-check) statement of a theorem from the messy (and hard-to-check) details of its proof(s);

  • separating the specification of a system from its implementation(s); and

  • being able to prove that an implementation does indeed satisfy its specification.

And it's not exactly "turtles all the way down" either: a specification is generally simple and compact enough that a good programmer can usually simply visually inspect it to determine if it is indeed "correct" - something which is very difficult, if not impossible, to do with a program written in a procedural, implementation-oriented language such as C or Python or Java.

So I worry that we've got this tradition, from the open-source github C/Java programming tradition, of never actually writing our "specification", and only writing the "implementation". In mission-critical military-grade programming projects (which often use languages like Ada or Maude) this is simply not allowed. It would seem that a project as mission-critical as Bitcoin - which could literally be crucial for humanity's continued survival - should also use this kind of military-grade software development approach.

And I'm not saying rewrite the implementations in these kind of theoretical languages. But it might be helpful if the C/Python/Java programmers in the Bitcoin imperative programming world could build some bridges to the Maude/Haskell/ML programmers of the functional and algebraic programming worlds to see if any kind of useful cross-pollination might take place - between specifications and implementations.

For example, the JavaFAN formal analyzer for multi-threaded Java programs (developed using tools based on the Maude language) was applied to the Remote Agent AI program aboard NASA's Deep Space 1 shuttle, written in Java - and it took only a few minutes using formal mathematical reasoning to detect a potential deadlock which would have occurred years later during the space mission when the damn spacecraft was already way out around Pluto.

And "the Maude-NRL (Naval Research Laboratory) Protocol Analyzer (Maude-NPA) is a tool used to provide security proofs of cryptographic protocols and to search for protocol flaws and cryptosystem attacks."

These are open-source formal reasoning tools developed by DARPA and used by NASA and the US Navy to ensure that program implementations satisfy their specifications. It would be great if some of the people involved in these kinds of projects could contribute to help ensure the security and scalability of Bitcoin.

But there is a wide abyss between the kinds of programmers who use languages like Maude and the kinds of programmers who use languages like C/Python/Java - and it can be really hard to get the two worlds to meet. There is a bit of rapprochement between these language communities in languages which might be considered as being somewhere in the middle, such as Haskell and ML. I just worry that Bitcoin might be turning into being an exclusively C/Python/Java project (with the algorithms and practitioners traditionally of that community), when it could be more advantageous if it also had some people from the functional and algebraic-specification and program-verification community involved as well. The thing is, though: the theoretical practitioners are big on "semantics" - I've heard them say stuff like "Yes but a C / C++ program has no easily identifiable semantics". So to get them involved, you really have to first be able to talk about what your program does (specification) - before proceeding to describe how it does it (implementation). And writing high-level specifications is typically very hard using the syntax and semantics of languages like C and Java and Python - whereas specs are fairly easy to write in Maude - and not only that, they're executable, and you state and verify properties about them - which provides for the kind of debate Nick Szabo was advocating ("more computer science, less noise").

Imagine if we had an executable algebraic specification of Bitcoin in Maude, where we could formally reason about and verify certain crucial game-theoretical properties - rather than merely hand-waving and arguing and deploying and praying.

And so in the theoretical programming community you've got major research on various logics such as Girard's Linear Logic (which is resource-conscious) and Bruni and Montanari's Tile Logic (which enables "pasting" bigger systems together from smaller ones in space and time), and executable algebraic specification languages such as Meseguer's Maude (which would be perfect for game theory modeling, with its functional modules for specifying the deterministic parts of systems and its system modules for specifiying non-deterministic parts of systems, and its parameterized skeletons for sketching out the typical architectures of mobile systems, and its formal reasoning and verification tools and libraries which have been specifically applied to testing and breaking - and fixing - cryptographic protocols).

And somewhat closer to the practical hands-on world, you've got stuff like Google's MapReduce and lots of Big Data database languages developed by Google as well. And yet here we are with a mempool growing dangerously big for RAM on a single machine, and a 20-GB append-only list as our database - and not much debate on practical results from Google's Big Data databases.

(And by the way: maybe I'm totally ignorant for asking this, but I'll ask anyways: why the hell does the mempool have to stay in RAM? Couldn't it work just as well if it were stored temporarily on the hard drive?)

And you've got CalvinDB out of Yale which apparently provides an ACID layer on top of a massively distributed database.

Look, I'm just an armchair follower cheering on these projects. I can barely manage to write a query in SQL, or read through a C or Python or Java program. But I would argue two points here: (1) these languages may be too low-level and "non-formal" for writing and modeling and formally reasoning about and proving properties of mission-critical specifications - and (2) there seem to be some Big Data tools already deployed by institutions such as Google and Yale which support global petabyte-size databases on commodity boxes with nice properties such as near-real-time and ACID - and I sometimes worry that the "core devs" might be failing to review the literature (and reach out to fellow programmers) out there to see if there might be some formal program-verification and practical Big Data tools out there which could be applied to coming up with rock-solid, 100% consensus proposals to handle an issue such as blocksize scaling, which seems to have become much more intractable than many people might have expected.

I mean, the protocol solved the hard stuff: the elliptical-curve stuff and the Byzantine General stuff. How the heck can we be falling down on the comparatively "easier" stuff - like scaling the blocksize?

It just seems like defeatism to say "Well, the blockchain is already 20-30 GB and it's gonna be 20-30 TB ten years from now - and we need 10 Mbs bandwidth now and 10,000 Mbs bandwidth 20 years from - assuming the evil Verizon and AT&T actually give us that - so let's just become a settlement platform and give up on buying coffee or banking the unbanked or doing micropayments, and let's push all that stuff into some corporate-controlled vaporware without even a whitepaper yet."

So you've got Peter Todd doing some possibly brilliant theorizing and extrapolating on the idea of "treechains" - there is a Let's Talk Bitcoin podcast from about a year ago where he sketches the rough outlines of this idea out in a very inspiring, high-level way - although the specifics have yet to be hammered out. And we've got Blockstream also doing some hopeful hand-waving about the Lightning Network.

Things like Peter Todd's treechains - which may be similar to the spark in some devs' eyes called Lightning Network - are examples of the kind of algorithm or architecture which might manage to harness the massive computing power of miners and nodes in such a way that certain kinds of massive and graceful scaling become possible.

It just seems like a kindof tiny dev community working on this stuff.

Being a C or Python or Java programmer should not be a pre-req to being able to help contribute to the specification (and formal reasoning and program verification) for Bitcoin and the blockchain.

XML and UML are crap modeling and specification languages, and C and Java and Python are even worse (as specification languages - although as implementation languages, they are of course fine).

But there are serious modeling and specification languages out there, and they could be very helpful at times like this - where what we're dealing with is questions of modeling and specification (ie, "needs and requirements").

One just doesn't often see the practical, hands-on world of open-source github implementation-level programmers and the academic, theoretical world of specification-level programmers meeting very often. I wish there were some way to get these two worlds to collaborate on Bitcoin.

Maybe a good first step to reach out to the theoretical people would be to provide a modular executable algebraic specification of the Bitcoin protocol in a recognized, military/NASA-grade specification language such as Maude - because that's something the theoretical community can actually wrap their heads around, whereas it's very hard to get them to pay attention to something written only as a C / Python / Java implementation (without an accompanying specification in a formal language).

They can't check whether the program does what it's supposed to do - if you don't provide a formal mathematical definition of what the program is supposed to do.

Specification : Implementation :: Theorem : Proof

You have to remember: the theoretical community is very aware of the Curry-Howard isomorphism. Just like it would be hard to get a mathematician's attention by merely showing them a proof without telling also telling them what theorem the proof is proving - by the same token, it's hard to get the attention of a theoretical computer scientist by merely showing them an implementation without showing them the specification that it implements.

Bitcoin is currently confronted with a mathematical or "computer science" problem: how to secure the network while getting high enough transactional throughput, while staying within the limited RAM, bandwidth and hard drive space limitations of current and future infrastructure.

The problem only becomes a political and economic problem if we give up on trying to solve it as a mathematical and "theoretical computer science" problem.

There should be a plethora of whitepapers out now proposing algorithmic solutions to these scaling issues. Remember, all we have to do is apply the Byzantine General consensus-reaching procedure to a worldwide database which shuffles 2.1 quadrillion tokens among a few billion addresses. The 21 company has emphatically pointed out that racing to compute a hash to add a block is an "embarrassingly parallel" problem - very easy to decompose among cheap, fault-prone, commodity boxes, and recompose into an overall solution - along the lines of Google's highly successful MapReduce.

I guess what I'm really saying is (and I don't mean to be rude here), is that C and Python and Java programmers might not be the best qualified people to develop and formally prove the correctness of (note I do not say: "test", I say "formally prove the correctness of") these kinds of algorithms.

I really believe in the importance of getting the algorithms and architectures right - look at Google Search itself, it uses some pretty brilliant algorithms and architectures (eg, MapReduce, Paxos) which enable it to achieve amazing performance - on pretty crappy commodity hardware. And look at BitTorrent, which is truly p2p, where more demand leads to more supply.

So, in this vein, I will close this lengthy rant with an oddly specific link - which may or may not be able to make some interesting contributions to finding suitable algorithms, architectures and data structures which might help Bitcoin scale massively. I have no idea if this link could be helpful - but given the near-total lack of people from the Haskell and ML and functional worlds in these Bitcoin specification debates, I thought I'd be remiss if I didn't throw this out - just in case there might be something here which could help us channel the massive computing power of the Bitcoin network in such a way as to enable us simply sidestep this kind of desperate debate where both sides seem right because the other side seems wrong.

http://ift.tt/1HaiqED

The above paper is about "higher dimensional trees". It uses a bit of category theory (not a whole lot) and a bit of Haskell (again not a lot - just a simple data structure called a Rose tree, which has a wikipedia page) to develop a very expressive and efficient data structure which generalizes from lists to trees to higher dimensions.

I have no idea if this kind of data structure could be applicable to the current scaling mess we apparently are getting bogged down in - I don't have the game-theory skills to figure it out.

I just thought that since the blockchain is like a list, and since there are some tree-like structures which have been grafted on for efficiency (eg Merkle trees) and since many of the futuristic scaling proposals seem to also involve generalizing from list-like structures (eg, the blockchain) to tree-like structures (eg, side-chains and tree-chains)... well, who knows, there might be some nugget of algorithmic or architectural or data-structure inspiration there.

So... TL;DR:

(1) I'm freaked out that this blocksize debate has splintered the community so badly and dragged on so long, with no resolution in sight, and both sides seeming so right (because the other side seems so wrong).

(2) I think Bitcoin could gain immensely by using high-level formal, algebraic and co-algebraic program specification and verification languages (such as Maude including Maude-NPA, Mobile Maude parameterized skeletons, etc.) to specify (and possibly also, to some degree, verify) what Bitcoin does - before translating to low-level implementation languages such as C and Python and Java saying how Bitcoin does it. This would help to communicate and reason about programs with much more mathematical certitude - and possibly obviate the need for many political and economic tradeoffs which currently seem dismally inevitable - and possibly widen the collaboration on this project.

(3) I wonder if there are some Big Data approaches out there (eg, along the lines of Google's MapReduce and BigTable, or Yale's CalvinDB), which could be implemented to allow Bitcoin to scale massively and painlessly - and to satisfy all stakeholders, ranging from millionaires to micropayments, coffee drinkers to the great "unbanked".



Submitted June 23, 2015 at 12:35PM by BeYourOwnBank http://ift.tt/1HahS1A Bitcoin

Monday, May 18, 2015

How Can 21's Business Plan Make Sense? Bitcoin

Now that 21 has revealed their plans concretely, I'm finding it hard to figure out some seemingly obvious gaping flaws in their plan. Adding mining to everything isn't efficient, not even a little bit. Mining requires a specialized data center, it can't be done with a toaster: the amount generated will be insignificantly small.

http://ift.tt/1Fkj5RJ

I made a stab at translating their medium post from crazy talk into something that could possibly make sense

Point 1: A new approach to micropayments

21 claims people won't use their credit cards when signing up, so they will use a BitShare chip instead.

How I think this could make sense: think Captchas, not Credit Cards. When you sign up for a site, you have to fill in an annoying captcha, it's a way of ensuring that you aren't abusing the site resources. Bitcoin's hashing concept was originally created as an alternative to this: hashcash, something to make abuse a little bit expensive. So the BitShare chip could act as a way to avoid captchas, or to go old school, to send emails with a little bit of authority that yes, I did some work to send this email and help send a signal to a spam filter it's not spam.

Point 2: Silicon as a service

21 claims that video cards and routers are going to be mining

How I think this could make sense: Imagine a future world in which the race to ASICs is over, the smaller and smaller, more efficient and more efficient war is over. Now it's all about electricity. Although this is not a business model I think is very ethical, companies start selling heavily discounted video cards and routers that make up for their discount by basically taking electricity from the customer. The thing is, people are not all that savvy about upfront payments vs payments on installment. This basically takes the payments on installment business model and moves it from the retail level to the manufacturer level

Point 3: Decentralized authentication

21 claims that you will be able to use embedded private keys to authenticate

How I think this could make sense: the best practice we have at the moment to ensure security is using multiple factor security. Instead of just something you know (your password), you use something you have (2 factor auth token) as well. Of course this is still vulnerable, more factors would be better but even 2 is a pretty frustrating experience of copying numbers etc. Imagine if you created auth tokens based on all your surrounding devices. Like to access your bank account fast checking you need to be at home on your network with your toaster, your fridge, your computer, all your devices co-signing to authenticate you. Even at the smallest level, your phone and your password automatically signing together would provide a lot more security than we currently have with just passwords and the rare user who turns on 2FA.

Point 4: Machine Twitter

21 claims that machines want to tell the world they are pooping

How this could make sense: there's a race on to figure out how to make decentralized databases. Whether it's OpenBaazar or Storj or Ethereum or Namecoin, there's obvious use cases for a key value store that's decentralized. The trouble is no one has yet figured out how to make it work and make it useful yet. BitShare chip could act as a gateway into this future database, where you have a Windows registry in the sky that's controlled by no one and authenticated via BitShare too. So your refrigerator can write to the decentralized database how many eggs you have left and you can check that from your mobile phone, and BitShare chip acts as the key that is needed to avoid people from super spamming this decentralized, standardized global database. Theoretically.

Point 5: Pay for associated services

21 claims that their chip could be used to pay for software as a service

How this could make sense: now almost all of the time the mining the chip is doing is going to be pretty worthless, but some of the time it won't. Imagine if Tesla put in BitShares into their new home battery, where when the battery gets full it can start mining, say if you have a solar panel setup. Now Tesla can offer a service to you, you can subscribe to Tesla Home PRO for free (actually paid with electricity) which has a bunch of cool new software, all you have to do is enable the Tesla BitShare chip.

Point 6: Devices create revenue splits

21 claims that the supply chain can be compensated partially

How this could make sense: this could be basically a restatement of smart contracts, where companies can work together and have a contract guiding their cooperation that needs no legal framework to ensure ongoing cooperation. For example I'm a Sauna designer and I contract out to a Chinese company to manufacture my Saunas. Now I can offer the Chinese company a split of the sales directly, and we don't have to trust each other very much. Plus I can cut the Chinese in on ongoing sales, so they now have an incentive to make a quality product that people continue to use and not just lower quality so they can lower their costs and screw me over.

Point 7: Bitcoin for the developing world

21 claims that poor people can't afford things with high upfront costs so they need the BitShare thing to offset the cost of things. This could make sense if you buy the idea that people will buy lower cost things even though there will ultimately be a higher total cost of ownership, because they are too poor for upfront costs and/or not wise buyers. Like I could sell a slightly cheaper car in India that had some embedded BitShare that was reducing the car's efficiency but sending me coins. It's kind of the idea behind the Google ChromeBooks/Android business model: Google gives away stuff for free/low-cost and then people click on ads to make up the difference.

The thing that trips me up and I'm not sure about is the underlying assumption which is that Bitcoin mining efficiency will plateau and these BitShare chips will actually be somewhat competitive vs the most advanced ASICs going forward. If ASICs blow them out of the water completely, all these points won't work because the hashing is so so difficult that mining bitcoin with these things would become indistinguishable from not mining.



Submitted May 19, 2015 at 12:01PM by pb1x http://ift.tt/1AbW8kS Bitcoin

Wednesday, February 4, 2015

Got an email about bitcoin trying to scam me, for your amusement Bitcoin


Disclaimer: this is obviously a scam, so please don't send any money to this person.


Got this email with the subject line "[ATTENTION SENIORS] If you have $20, this explosive cryptocurrency could change your life"


http://ift.tt/1LM7FtM


So, of course, I immediately clicked on the link, curious which alt coin they were pushing. The link was to http://ift.tt/1uXJrCd, and the long text explanation of what was being sold is at http://ift.tt/1KrCYq9


Some hilarious excerpts



The value of Bitcoins in circulation has now topped $1.5 billion – more than twice the market cap of Apple. No wonder major companies like Dell, Amazon, and Target, all accept Bitcoin as payment.



Hahahahahahahaha.


Someone must have done the math too quickly, and thought that Apple's market cap was 700 million instead of billion.


And apparently Amazon and Target now accept bitcoins. Wonder if they got that from Gaw? That would also fit with the "get in for under $20" hahahaha.



Before I reveal this opportunity in detail, please allow me to formerly introduce myself.



Wait, does that mean you already introduced yourself?



No wonder America’s elite are using it too, including Jerry Seinfeld, Robert DeNiro, and Britney Spears. It’s rumored that Denzel Washington used this currency to pay for a $30 million private jet.



Yeah, you can say anything in an article and that will make it have been "rumored". This probably can't be topped.



Even President Obama flashed it to the world while purchasing his lunch.



I take that back.



However, I’ve discovered an amazing “loophole” in America’s rewards-points system.



And you chose to share it with all of us, of course. Wonder what that implies about its viability?



The report reveals the company actively “mining” America’s top rewards points systems...



Ooh! Mining!



I peg the value of your first opportunity at upwards of $56,700.



... and I'll sell it to you for only $9.99. Aren't I nice?



On page 109… Chris reveals how a morning stop to his local 7-Eleven made him a fortune. Since Chris is an avid Snapple drinker, one day, he noticed the store’s shelf spaaaaaace for Snapple products had shrunk from two full refrigerators to less than half of one. He immediately took action, executing his incredibly simple “information arbitrage” strategy. The very next week, Snapple announced that its inventory of unsold products had sharply risen, negatively impacting the company’s profits. Chris tripled his investment in a few days.



... is there anything I could even say to this? My guess is that he is either flat out lying, or invested in hundreds of companies and only reports the profitable ones.



Chris reveals how a friend’s unassuming Facebook post scored him a quick 50% gainer. The post simply said, “Oh my! Chuggington?!!! I think my kids have died and gone to heaven!” Within days of observing the post, Chris perfectly executed his “information arbitrage” strategy and invested ahead of Chuggington becoming a smash hit among children.



How can I get him to follow me so I can pump everything I own to this very rich person?



Below are a few of the fantastic letters I received from readers last week...



This is in almost every scam pitch I've ever seen.


Final thoughts: I am really disappointed. If you're going to write a scam pitch, at least make sure all the irrelevant facts in it are true. Also, this is dated from October, so why did I only get an email this week? Someone's slacking off.


(The company referred to is http://ift.tt/1uXJu0D, and obviously Robert Williams owns a large number of shares in it.)


Someone should get the list of Paycoin holders and sell it to this guy.


Disclaimer: this is obviously a scam, so please don't send any money to this person.







Submitted February 04, 2015 at 09:25PM by itisike http://ift.tt/1uXJu0G Bitcoin

Sunday, October 12, 2014

Having your own local economy with Bitcoin Bitcoin


You'll be sending some Bitcoins to your self-driving car which then drives to a gas station to load itself up again, paying in Bitcoin.


When you are asleep, your car isn't. It's driving around the city and act like a taxi, gaining some Bitcoin fees for the service.


In the morning, it comes back home, with all the Bitcoins it earned and pumps it in the local economy of your house.


Your refrigerator will take some coins out of this house wallet and use them to shop online to buy some new food, delivered by a self-driving truck, which deploys the new goods at the entrance of the transportation system at your house (= basically a gap that opens up on your sidewalk). This transportation system, which first runs underground and then within the walls of your house, sends the goods to the correct machines, in this case, to your refrigerator.


The lawn mower owned by your neighbor, which drives from garden to garden in the entire neighborhood, will hit your house once a week. It sees today is your turn and asks a wifi-payment to your house, your house pays and it starts mowing.


This is how I imagine our future.







Submitted October 13, 2014 at 07:34AM by Nooku http://ift.tt/1xIgj47 Bitcoin